Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Gourde 46.0% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 68.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 86.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 60.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Strome
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Strome
Gourde
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Strome
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Strome
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
47.2% (654)
+9.0%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
45.0% (20)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
32.2% (87)
+9.5%
On power play, Strome has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Strome
Gourde
Home
55.7% (627)
44.1% (322)
Away
62.2% (539)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Strome
Gourde
P1
61.6%
42.4%
P2
54.5%
49.8%
P3
60.4%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |