Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 60.4% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.0% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 74.8%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 88.8%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 65.7%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Strome
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (856)
51.7% (300)
+4.5%
Power Play
66.4% (298)
33.3% (3)
+33.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
43.6% (55)
-1.9%
On power play, Strome has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Strome is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Strome shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Strome
Ostapchuk
Home
55.7% (627)
49.1% (161)
Away
62.2% (539)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Strome
Ostapchuk
P1
61.6%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
45.7%
P3
60.4%
55.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
58.7%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |