Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.6% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 73.3%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 81.9%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 58.2%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Strome
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,337)
48.5% (612)
+1.6%
Power Play
58.4% (1,519)
28.6% (7)
+29.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
46.8% (62)
-1.2%
On power play, Strome has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Strome shoots left. Ostapchuk is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Strome
Ostapchuk
Home
51.1% (3,968)
48.6% (319)
Away
52.2% (3,956)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Strome
Ostapchuk
P1
50.4%
48.2%
P2
52.1%
45.8%
P3
52.3%
50.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |