Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.5% vs Ostapchuk 49.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 70.8%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 82.9%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 60.3%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Strome
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
Last 6: Strome 2-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
4
Strome
Ostapchuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (6,185)
49.8% (544)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.3% (1,464)
16.7% (6)
+41.6%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (66)
42.9% (28)
+4.1%
On power play, Strome has a +41.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Strome is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,136).
Strome shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Strome
Ostapchuk
Home
50.9% (3,837)
48.9% (264)
Away
52.1% (3,878)
49.4% (314)
By Period
Strome
Ostapchuk
P1
50.2%
48.4%
P2
52.1%
48.1%
P3
52.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
70.0%▲
59.5%
51.5%
Ostapchuk
62.0%▲
53.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |