Eetu Luostarinen vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 48.2% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 52.5%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 53.7%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (29)
49.1% (825)
+6.1%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
65.4% (130)
-65.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
34.5% (29)
-12.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Luostarinen shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Home
40.0% (15)
52.6% (489)
Away
46.2% (26)
49.1% (495)
By Period
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
50.3%
P2
45.5%
52.6%
P3
33.3%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
43.9%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |