Eetu Luostarinen vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 47.2% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.3%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 56.4%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 51.2%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
50.0% (992)
-1.8%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
64.9% (148)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
34.4% (32)
-3.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Luostarinen shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Home
40.7% (27)
53.3% (591)
Away
45.3% (53)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
P1
47.8%
49.9%
P2
39.1%
53.2%
P3
42.4%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |