Who wins more faceoffs, Eetu Luostarinen or Nathan MacKinnon?

Eetu Luostarinen leads the head-to-head 6-4 across 10 faceoffs.

What is Eetu Luostarinen's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Eetu Luostarinen is 6-4 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-0, Defensive 2-2, Neutral 3-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Eetu Luostarinen or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 63.8% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Eetu Luostarinen vs Nathan MacKinnon

Eetu LuostarinenL vs Nathan MacKinnonR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Luostarinen wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Luostarinen 44.2% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (-2.8%)

H2H factor Luostarinen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings

Offensive zone MacKinnon 75.9%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 62.2%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 62.7%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 63.8%

36.2%

63.8%

Luostarinen MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

6 - 4 (10 meetings)

Luostarinen MacKinnon

Last 10: Luostarinen 6-4 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Luostarinen

Luostarinen MacKinnon

1 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Luostarinen MacKinnon

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Luostarinen

Luostarinen MacKinnon

5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Luostarinen

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

44.7% (1,721)

46.0% (11,051)

-1.3%

Power Play

40.4% (52)

53.2% (1,394)

-12.8%

Penalty Kill

37.8% (201)

42.9% (499)

-5.1%

On power play, MacKinnon has a +12.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Luostarinen is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (670).

Luostarinen shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).

Home / Away

Luostarinen

MacKinnon

Home

44.8% (994)

49.6% (6,342)

Away

43.1% (980)

43.9% (6,603)

By Period

Luostarinen

MacKinnon

43.4%

47.4%

45.5%

46.5%

42.8%

45.9%

37.5%

47.7%

Final 5 min

44.4%

48.9%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Luostarinen

42.0%▼

48.5%

43.9%

MacKinnon

54.0%▬

54.5%

46.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 4, 2026	1	08:44	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023	2	12:14	Defensive	Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023	2	08:08	Neutral	Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023	2	04:02	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023	1	14:50	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023	1	14:43	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023	1	14:40	Offensive	Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023	1	11:43	Defensive	Eetu Luostarinen
Dec 12, 2021	3	07:41	Neutral	Eetu Luostarinen
Dec 12, 2021	1	02:45	Neutral	Eetu Luostarinen

Luostarinen's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile