Who wins more faceoffs, Eetu Luostarinen or Nathan MacKinnon?

Eetu Luostarinen leads the head-to-head 6-4 across 10 faceoffs.

What is Eetu Luostarinen's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Eetu Luostarinen is 6-4 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-0, Defensive 2-2, Neutral 3-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Eetu Luostarinen or Nathan MacKinnon?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 57.8% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Eetu Luostarinen vs Nathan MacKinnon

Eetu LuostarinenL vs Nathan MacKinnonR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Luostarinen 44.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-2.9%)

H2H factor Luostarinen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings

Offensive zone MacKinnon 71.2%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 56.0%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 56.6%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.8%

42.2%

57.8%

Luostarinen MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

6 - 4 (10 meetings)

Luostarinen MacKinnon

Last 10: Luostarinen 6-4 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Luostarinen

Luostarinen MacKinnon

1 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Luostarinen MacKinnon

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Luostarinen

Luostarinen MacKinnon

5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Luostarinen

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

44.7% (1,748)

46.1% (11,218)

-1.4%

Power Play

41.7% (60)

53.3% (1,412)

-11.6%

Penalty Kill

38.0% (205)

42.8% (502)

-4.8%

On power play, MacKinnon has a +11.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (678).

Luostarinen shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).

Home / Away

Luostarinen

MacKinnon

Home

44.7% (1,006)

49.7% (6,444)

Away

43.1% (1,007)

44.0% (6,689)

By Period

Luostarinen

MacKinnon

43.4%

47.4%

45.3%

46.6%

43.0%

46.1%

37.5%

48.4%

Final 5 min

44.4%

49.0%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Luostarinen

44.0%▼

47.5%

43.9%

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 4, 2026	1	08:44	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023	2	12:14	Defensive	Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023	2	08:08	Neutral	Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023	2	04:02	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023	1	14:50	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023	1	14:43	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023	1	14:40	Offensive	Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023	1	11:43	Defensive	Eetu Luostarinen
Dec 12, 2021	3	07:41	Neutral	Eetu Luostarinen
Dec 12, 2021	1	02:45	Neutral	Eetu Luostarinen

Luostarinen's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile