Eetu Luostarinen vs Nathan MacKinnon

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Luostarinen wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Luostarinen 44.2% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor Luostarinen leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 75.9%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 62.2%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 62.7%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Luostarinen MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 4 (10 meetings)
6
4
Luostarinen MacKinnon
Last 10: Luostarinen 6-4 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Luostarinen MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
3
2
Luostarinen MacKinnon
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,721)
46.0% (11,051)
-1.3%
Power Play
40.4% (52)
53.2% (1,394)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (201)
42.9% (499)
-5.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +12.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Luostarinen is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (670).
Luostarinen shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Home
44.8% (994)
49.6% (6,342)
Away
43.1% (980)
43.9% (6,603)
By Period
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
P1
43.4%
47.4%
P2
45.5%
46.5%
P3
42.8%
45.9%
OT
37.5%
47.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%
48.5%
43.9%
MacKinnon
54.0%
54.5%
46.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 4, 2026 1 08:44 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023 2 12:14 Defensive Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023 2 08:08 Neutral Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023 2 04:02 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023 1 14:50 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023 1 14:43 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 11, 2023 1 14:40 Offensive Eetu Luostarinen
Feb 11, 2023 1 11:43 Defensive Eetu Luostarinen
Dec 12, 2021 3 07:41 Neutral Eetu Luostarinen
Dec 12, 2021 1 02:45 Neutral Eetu Luostarinen