Eetu Luostarinen vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 57.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 65.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Last 7: Luostarinen 4-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
1
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
44.7% (1,053)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
36.8% (95)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
65.0% (20)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Luostarinen shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Home
41.5% (207)
49.4% (553)
Away
42.2% (211)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
P1
38.2%
45.3%
P2
44.9%
42.7%
P3
42.9%
45.1%
OT
0.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |