Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 43.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (-7.4%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 73.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Luostarinen
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (365)
49.2% (307)
-7.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
66.7% (6)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (38)
48.2% (56)
-3.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Luostarinen shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Carrick
Home
41.5% (207)
50.3% (175)
Away
42.2% (211)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Luostarinen
Carrick
P1
38.2%
41.0%
P2
44.9%
51.2%
P3
42.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
44.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
41.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%