Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 47.2% vs Carrick 53.8% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 71.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Luostarinen
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (56)
55.1% (439)
-6.9%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
66.7% (3)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
49.1% (53)
-18.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Luostarinen is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Luostarinen shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Carrick
Home
40.7% (27)
58.2% (225)
Away
45.3% (53)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Luostarinen
Carrick
P1
47.8%
56.7%
P2
39.1%
52.8%
P3
42.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
43.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%