Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Staal 46.6% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 82.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 63.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 68.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Lindholm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Staal
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lindholm
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
49.6% (565)
+8.1%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
35.0% (20)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
35.4% (158)
+13.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Staal
Home
55.7% (760)
46.1% (380)
Away
55.8% (778)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Lindholm
Staal
P1
53.7%
45.7%
P2
58.3%
46.2%
P3
55.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Eric Staal |