Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Staal 50.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 32-21 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 82.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 70.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Lindholm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
21
(53 meetings)
32
21
Lindholm
Staal
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
9
Lindholm
Staal
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
15
8
Lindholm
Staal
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
4
Lindholm
Staal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
50.5% (10,347)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
53.5% (2,023)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
44.2% (781)
+3.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Staal
Home
54.1% (5,943)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Lindholm
Staal
P1
54.1%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
51.1%
P3
53.0%
50.4%
OT
53.6%
55.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |