Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Malkin 48.7% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 74.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Lindholm
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lindholm
Malkin
Last 7: Lindholm 3-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Lindholm
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
47.9% (776)
+9.4%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
66.7% (24)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
100.0% (1)
-50.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Malkin
Home
55.2% (667)
49.6% (405)
Away
57.5% (669)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Lindholm
Malkin
P1
54.7%
49.6%
P2
55.5%
47.2%
P3
58.5%
48.5%
OT
64.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |