Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Malkin 46.4% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 67.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Lindholm
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
45.5% (602)
+9.4%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
50.0% (30)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
100.0% (1)
-50.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Malkin is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Malkin
Home
54.4% (688)
47.5% (326)
Away
56.1% (686)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Lindholm
Malkin
P1
57.2%
49.3%
P2
54.3%
44.7%
P3
54.2%
42.3%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |