Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Hughes 39.2% (+17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 85.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 96.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 94.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Lindholm
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lindholm
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
37.9% (623)
+17.0%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
33.3% (33)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
36.4% (11)
+13.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hughes
Home
54.4% (688)
36.6% (314)
Away
56.1% (686)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Lindholm
Hughes
P1
57.2%
36.4%
P2
54.3%
35.6%
P3
54.2%
41.8%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |