Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Hughes 39.8% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 80.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 87.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 68.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Lindholm
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
36.8% (266)
+17.6%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
14.3% (7)
+47.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
33.3% (6)
+16.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hughes
Home
55.8% (541)
35.1% (148)
Away
54.7% (428)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Lindholm
Hughes
P1
54.8%
43.0%
P2
55.7%
28.7%
P3
55.6%
35.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |