Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 57.1%). Look for Schwartz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Schwartz 54.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 87.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Lindholm
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lindholm
Schwartz
Last 6: Lindholm 3-3 Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schwartz
0
3
Lindholm
Schwartz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Schwartz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
45.8% (59)
+11.5%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
64.4% (101)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
0.0% (1)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Schwartz is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Schwartz
Home
55.2% (667)
61.0% (82)
Away
57.5% (669)
53.2% (79)
By Period
Lindholm
Schwartz
P1
54.7%
58.6%
P2
55.5%
46.8%
P3
58.5%
64.2%
OT
64.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
64.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |