Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Schwartz 52.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 51.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 74.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 56.6%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lindholm
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Schwartz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
60.5% (38)
-6.1%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
53.3% (15)
+8.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Schwartz is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Schwartz
Home
55.8% (541)
71.4% (21)
Away
54.7% (428)
50.0% (32)
By Period
Lindholm
Schwartz
P1
54.8%
60.9%
P2
55.7%
69.2%
P3
55.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
76.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |