Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.2%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.7% vs Carter 53.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 21-16 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 50.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Lindholm
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
21
(37 meetings)
16
21
Lindholm
Carter
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
9
Lindholm
Carter
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
6
Lindholm
Carter
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
6
Lindholm
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (8,338)
53.3% (8,728)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.2% (1,683)
57.3% (1,554)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,588)
46.3% (1,087)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,676).
Lindholm shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carter
Home
54.0% (5,833)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
53.5% (5,776)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Lindholm
Carter
P1
53.9%
53.6%
P2
54.4%
52.8%
P3
52.9%
53.1%
OT
53.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |