Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Carter 58.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 76.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 61.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 57.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Lindholm
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Carter
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Lindholm
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
59.7% (727)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
68.1% (72)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
53.2% (139)
-4.6%
On power play, Carter has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carter
Home
55.7% (760)
58.7% (455)
Away
55.8% (778)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Lindholm
Carter
P1
53.7%
61.3%
P2
58.3%
57.1%
P3
55.1%
59.8%
OT
59.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |