Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Carter 56.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 63.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 66.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Lindholm
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lindholm
Carter
Last 5: Lindholm 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Lindholm
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lindholm
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Lindholm
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
57.9% (885)
-5.5%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
61.7% (133)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
45.4% (119)
+4.2%
On even strength, Carter has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Lindholm shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carter
Home
52.3% (771)
58.2% (543)
Away
53.5% (821)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Lindholm
Carter
P1
50.7%
57.5%
P2
55.3%
57.1%
P3
54.0%
55.8%
OT
29.6%
68.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 29, 2021 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |