Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 49.4% vs Pavelski 53.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 70.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 52.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 60.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Lindholm
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Pavelski
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Lindholm
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (570)
54.4% (474)
-4.4%
Power Play
52.6% (95)
51.9% (104)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
52.7% (74)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Lindholm shoots right. Pavelski is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pavelski
Home
49.8% (402)
54.3% (313)
Away
48.9% (399)
53.4% (339)
By Period
Lindholm
Pavelski
P1
50.0%
51.0%
P2
46.9%
51.9%
P3
49.0%
58.1%
OT
75.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
49.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |