Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 50.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 69.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 58.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Lindholm
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lindholm
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
52.3% (560)
+5.4%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
57.5% (113)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
62.5% (16)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pavelski
Home
55.7% (760)
54.2% (360)
Away
55.8% (778)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Lindholm
Pavelski
P1
53.7%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
56.7%
P3
55.1%
50.8%
OT
59.1%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |