Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.2%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 52.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Lindholm
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Lindholm
Pavelski
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
4
Lindholm
Pavelski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
1
Lindholm
Pavelski
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
4
Lindholm
Pavelski
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
53.6% (8,791)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
58.2% (2,122)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
50.9% (1,138)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,738).
Lindholm shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pavelski
Home
54.1% (5,943)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Lindholm
Pavelski
P1
54.1%
53.5%
P2
54.5%
55.2%
P3
53.0%
53.9%
OT
53.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 17:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |