Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Toews 61.9% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 70.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 60.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 63.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Lindholm
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Lindholm
Toews
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
2
Lindholm
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Lindholm
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
61.1% (650)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
71.9% (192)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
59.6% (99)
-11.0%
On power play, Toews has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Toews
Home
55.7% (760)
64.8% (560)
Away
55.8% (778)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Lindholm
Toews
P1
53.7%
62.3%
P2
58.3%
63.9%
P3
55.1%
62.8%
OT
59.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |