Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Toews 60.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 64.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 68.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 59.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Lindholm
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lindholm
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Lindholm
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
62.5% (696)
-8.1%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
59.6% (141)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
46.9% (32)
+2.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Toews
Home
55.8% (541)
60.9% (435)
Away
54.7% (428)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Lindholm
Toews
P1
54.8%
59.8%
P2
55.7%
65.7%
P3
55.6%
58.8%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |