Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.7%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Jankowski 54.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 76.0%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 67.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 57.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Lindholm
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lindholm
Jankowski
Last 6: Lindholm 4-2 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Jankowski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Lindholm
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
58.6% (273)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
66.7% (3)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
43.3% (67)
+5.3%
On power play, Jankowski has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Jankowski
Home
55.7% (760)
54.7% (128)
Away
55.8% (778)
56.3% (215)
By Period
Lindholm
Jankowski
P1
53.7%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
56.5%
P3
55.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |