Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Jankowski 50.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 87.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 61.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 70.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Lindholm
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Lindholm
Jankowski
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
7
1
Lindholm
Jankowski
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
4
Lindholm
Jankowski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Lindholm
Jankowski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
51.3% (347)
+3.6%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
72.7% (11)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
44.0% (75)
+5.4%
On power play, Jankowski has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Jankowski is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Jankowski
Home
54.4% (688)
46.8% (188)
Away
56.1% (686)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Lindholm
Jankowski
P1
57.2%
51.6%
P2
54.3%
49.3%
P3
54.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |