Elias Lindholm vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bourque on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Bourque 46.4% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bourque 68.7%
Defensive zone
Bourque 79.2%
Neutral zone
Bourque 74.2%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Lindholm
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lindholm
Bourque
Last 5: Lindholm 1-4 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Bourque
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
3
Lindholm
Bourque
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
46.7% (508)
+7.1%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
27.3% (22)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
42.9% (28)
+5.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,738).
Lindholm shoots right. Bourque is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Bourque
Home
54.1% (5,943)
47.3% (262)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
44.3% (296)
By Period
Lindholm
Bourque
P1
54.1%
42.4%
P2
54.5%
42.9%
P3
53.0%
50.7%
OT
53.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Bourque
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |