Elias Lindholm vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs McCarron 52.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 77.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 57.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 58.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Lindholm
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
McCarron
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Lindholm
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
54.5% (618)
+2.8%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
42.1% (19)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
35.3% (34)
+13.8%
On power play, Lindholm has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McCarron
Home
55.2% (667)
52.2% (339)
Away
57.5% (669)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Lindholm
McCarron
P1
54.7%
53.5%
P2
55.5%
50.6%
P3
58.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |