Elias Lindholm vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs McCarron 52.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 74.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 80.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 61.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Lindholm
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Lindholm
McCarron
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
McCarron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
6
Lindholm
McCarron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
53.4% (2,901)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
45.3% (86)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
50.5% (463)
-2.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,738).
Lindholm shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McCarron
Home
54.1% (5,943)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Lindholm
McCarron
P1
54.1%
53.9%
P2
54.5%
52.5%
P3
53.0%
52.0%
OT
53.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |