Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Rantanen 47.1% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 74.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 66.3%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 53.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Lindholm
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lindholm
Rantanen
Last 6: Lindholm 3-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Lindholm
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Rantanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Lindholm
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
46.3% (309)
+6.1%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
51.3% (39)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
16.7% (6)
+32.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Rantanen is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rantanen
Home
52.3% (771)
51.8% (197)
Away
53.5% (821)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Lindholm
Rantanen
P1
50.7%
47.2%
P2
55.3%
44.8%
P3
54.0%
46.9%
OT
29.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |