Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Rantanen 53.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 68.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 97.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 70.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Lindholm
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lindholm
Rantanen
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
5
Lindholm
Rantanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
10
0
Lindholm
Rantanen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
51.7% (346)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
58.5% (164)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
0.0% (1)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Rantanen
Home
55.2% (667)
55.8% (258)
Away
57.5% (669)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Lindholm
Rantanen
P1
54.7%
50.0%
P2
55.5%
56.6%
P3
58.5%
54.3%
OT
64.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |