Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 64.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Lindholm
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
30
(57 meetings)
27
30
Lindholm
Bonino
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
15
7
Lindholm
Bonino
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
7
15
Lindholm
Bonino
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
8
Lindholm
Bonino
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
50.6% (8,315)
+3.2%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
54.1% (972)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
44.6% (1,693)
+3.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Bonino
Home
54.1% (5,943)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Lindholm
Bonino
P1
54.1%
50.6%
P2
54.5%
48.5%
P3
53.0%
51.1%
OT
53.6%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |