Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Bonino 50.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 73.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Lindholm
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Lindholm
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
51.8% (305)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
48.5% (101)
+0.6%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Bonino
Home
55.2% (667)
53.1% (177)
Away
57.5% (669)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Lindholm
Bonino
P1
54.7%
55.9%
P2
55.5%
49.6%
P3
58.5%
47.6%
OT
64.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |