Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Bonino 48.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 65.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Lindholm
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lindholm
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Lindholm
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Lindholm
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
48.1% (324)
+9.6%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
57.9% (38)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
44.3% (88)
+4.3%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Bonino
Home
55.7% (760)
52.0% (244)
Away
55.8% (778)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Lindholm
Bonino
P1
53.7%
48.0%
P2
58.3%
42.9%
P3
55.1%
53.9%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |