Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Johansen 58.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 65.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Lindholm
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Lindholm
Johansen
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
4
Lindholm
Johansen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Lindholm
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
59.8% (625)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
58.2% (196)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
51.9% (27)
-3.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Johansen
Home
55.7% (760)
60.3% (436)
Away
55.8% (778)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Lindholm
Johansen
P1
53.7%
61.3%
P2
58.3%
60.4%
P3
55.1%
56.0%
OT
59.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |