Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Johansen 52.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 61.3%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 64.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 59.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Lindholm
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Johansen
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Lindholm
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
51.9% (597)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
57.9% (133)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
54.3% (81)
-5.2%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Johansen
Home
55.2% (667)
55.8% (387)
Away
57.5% (669)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Lindholm
Johansen
P1
54.7%
50.0%
P2
55.5%
56.2%
P3
58.5%
52.6%
OT
64.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |