Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 72.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 53.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Lindholm
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lindholm
Kuraly
Last 6: Lindholm 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lindholm
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
49.4% (445)
+7.9%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
100.0% (3)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
41.9% (117)
+7.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Kuraly
Home
55.2% (667)
49.2% (248)
Away
57.5% (669)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Lindholm
Kuraly
P1
54.7%
48.3%
P2
55.5%
44.7%
P3
58.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |