Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 25-24 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 84.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 74.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Lindholm
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
25
(49 meetings)
24
25
Lindholm
Kuraly
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
16
4
Lindholm
Kuraly
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
14
Lindholm
Kuraly
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
7
Lindholm
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
51.5% (5,141)
+2.3%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
56.0% (100)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
44.2% (1,086)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Kuraly
Home
54.1% (5,943)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Lindholm
Kuraly
P1
54.1%
51.1%
P2
54.5%
49.9%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
OT
53.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |