Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 63.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 68.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Lindholm
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Lindholm
Stamkos
Last 8: Lindholm 1-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Lindholm
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lindholm
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
55.3% (628)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
55.1% (216)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
40.2% (87)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Stamkos
Home
55.7% (760)
55.5% (499)
Away
55.8% (778)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Lindholm
Stamkos
P1
53.7%
50.7%
P2
58.3%
53.8%
P3
55.1%
55.9%
OT
59.1%
87.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |