Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 56.0%). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 62.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 69.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Lindholm
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lindholm
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Lindholm
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
55.9% (499)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
56.3% (126)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
58.3% (12)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Stamkos
Home
55.2% (667)
55.3% (349)
Away
57.5% (669)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Lindholm
Stamkos
P1
54.7%
57.0%
P2
55.5%
59.2%
P3
58.5%
51.5%
OT
64.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |