Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Novak 44.9% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 62.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 59.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Lindholm
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lindholm
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Lindholm
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
41.7% (206)
+11.8%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
52.6% (19)
+8.5%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Novak is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Novak
Home
55.5% (431)
44.9% (118)
Away
52.7% (298)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Lindholm
Novak
P1
52.3%
41.5%
P2
54.8%
44.0%
P3
56.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |