Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Novak 45.6% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 89.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 95.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 93.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Lindholm
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lindholm
Novak
Last 5: Lindholm 5-0 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
43.8% (384)
+13.9%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
58.8% (17)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
100.0% (1)
-51.4%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Novak
Home
55.7% (760)
46.5% (202)
Away
55.8% (778)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Lindholm
Novak
P1
53.7%
49.2%
P2
58.3%
44.2%
P3
55.1%
40.0%
OT
59.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |