Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Zegras 41.5% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 71.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 75.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Lindholm
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lindholm
Zegras
Last 6: Lindholm 3-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
3
Lindholm
Zegras
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
39.4% (510)
+13.0%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
47.1% (34)
+12.5%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zegras
Home
52.3% (771)
42.3% (272)
Away
53.5% (821)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Lindholm
Zegras
P1
50.7%
37.6%
P2
55.3%
41.5%
P3
54.0%
40.8%
OT
29.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.9%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 3, 2021 | OT | 03:29 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |