Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +25.0% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Zegras 35.4% (+25.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 89.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 81.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Lindholm
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
29.6% (230)
+24.8%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
32.1% (56)
+30.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
100.0% (1)
-50.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zegras
Home
55.8% (541)
30.6% (147)
Away
54.7% (428)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Lindholm
Zegras
P1
54.8%
33.0%
P2
55.7%
31.7%
P3
55.6%
25.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |