Elias Pettersson vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.9%). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 53.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
47.3% (207)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
100.0% (3)
-44.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
33.3% (3)
+2.2%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Home
49.3% (584)
46.5% (129)
Away
44.5% (555)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
P1
45.8%
51.3%
P2
47.9%
46.1%
P3
47.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |