Elias Pettersson vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 63.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 65.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 62.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Pettersson 2-8 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
5
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
6
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
49.0% (3,852)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
51.3% (351)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
45.7% (35)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Home
46.8% (2,734)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
P1
44.7%
49.9%
P2
46.0%
50.4%
P3
47.4%
47.2%
OT
39.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:41 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |