Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Eller 51.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Pettersson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
Eller
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Pettersson
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
52.8% (650)
-6.5%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
69.2% (13)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
45.5% (88)
+6.4%
On power play, Eller has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Eller
Home
48.1% (489)
52.6% (340)
Away
46.9% (475)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Pettersson
Eller
P1
47.4%
52.4%
P2
48.3%
54.1%
P3
46.6%
50.0%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |