Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Eller 50.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 88.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 69.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 79.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Pettersson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
16
(20 meetings)
4
16
Pettersson
Eller
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
5
Pettersson
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
Pettersson
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
7
Pettersson
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
51.1% (10,296)
-5.8%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
52.8% (621)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
46.7% (1,751)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Eller
Home
46.8% (2,734)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Pettersson
Eller
P1
44.7%
51.2%
P2
46.0%
50.1%
P3
47.4%
50.2%
OT
39.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |