Elias Pettersson vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Backlund 49.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 83.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 75.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Pettersson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Pettersson
Backlund
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
7
0
Pettersson
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
7
Pettersson
Backlund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Pettersson
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
50.1% (891)
-4.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
53.1% (64)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
47.8% (278)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Backlund
Home
49.3% (584)
48.1% (580)
Away
44.5% (555)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Pettersson
Backlund
P1
45.8%
45.1%
P2
47.9%
54.7%
P3
47.1%
49.0%
OT
47.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |