Elias Pettersson vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 32 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Backlund 49.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 49-47 in 96 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 72.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Pettersson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
49
(96 meetings)
47
49
Pettersson
Backlund
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
22
10
Pettersson
Backlund
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
11
21
Pettersson
Backlund
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
18
Pettersson
Backlund
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
49.7% (13,410)
-4.4%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
51.6% (1,336)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
44.0% (2,446)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Backlund
Home
46.8% (2,734)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Pettersson
Backlund
P1
44.7%
48.5%
P2
46.0%
50.3%
P3
47.4%
48.4%
OT
39.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |